Staggered-adoption DiD
Estimate ATT(g,t) with not-yet-treated controls and bootstrap uncertainty for defensible impact claims.
Causal forecasting, delivered inside your AWS.
EcoMetricx deploys a full-stack, AWS-native causal forecasting pipeline into your infrastructure. We combine staggered-adoption DiD, hierarchical reconciliation, scenario simulation, and LLM-assisted QA to deliver defensible forecasts, faster program insights, and operational automation without data leaving your cloud.
We do not provide a generic code drop. We partner to deploy, calibrate, and operate the pipeline so it aligns with your regulatory requirements, data contract, and planning cycle.
Every component is purpose-built for energy program analytics, reliability planning, and decision automation.
Estimate ATT(g,t) with not-yet-treated controls and bootstrap uncertainty for defensible impact claims.
Zero-shot global baseline forecasts with robust fallback when Chronos is unavailable.
Bottom-up forecasts are reconciled to system totals with proportional scaling and optional MinT extensions.
Monte Carlo sampling produces quantiles and risk-aware planning distributions.
LLM summaries are validated by deterministic thresholds to prevent unsafe actions.
MAPE/WAPE drift signals trigger retraining and approval workflows.
Every run produces complete lineage in S3 for compliance and audit review.
Step Functions, EventBridge, and Lambda coordinate the pipeline at scale.
Runs inside your AWS account with least-privilege IAM policies.
Critical findings are escalated to SNS for manual oversight.
LLM narrative reports translate metrics into executive-ready insights.
Idempotent CLI scripts stand up the entire stack in minutes.
Platform-ready for time-series forecasting and panel data predictions
Improved forecasting current conditions
Composable AWS primitives with end-to-end orchestration and clear operational boundaries.
Validate curated panel coverage and data integrity before compute.
Run DiD effects and baseline training in parallel for speed.
Apply effects, generate scenarios, and reconcile hierarchies.
Deliver narratives, metrics, and policy-governed decisions.
SageMaker processing and training jobs handle all heavy model workloads.
Step Functions coordinates parallelism, retries, and deterministic approvals.
S3 holds the curated panel and immutable run artifacts for auditability.
LLM output is constrained by policy gates and explicit allowlists.
Bring planning, regulatory, and program teams onto one operational platform.
Blend causal impacts with baseline projections to reduce blind spots in demand planning.
Automated DiD surfaces provide continuous insight into program efficacy.
LLM narratives are bound to audit artifacts for consistent stakeholder communication.
Policy gates and human approvals keep sensitive decisions in the right hands.
We deploy inside your AWS account with strict boundaries and traceability.
Your data never leaves your AWS environment. No multi-tenant pooling.
Guardrails enforce minimal data exposure and policy-driven access.
Role-scoped access for Lambda, SageMaker, Step Functions, and EventBridge.
S3 encryption defaults to SSE-S3 with optional KMS support.
Every run produces immutable artifacts with timestamps and traceable inputs.
This is not a self-serve codebase. We partner with you to deploy, calibrate, and operate.
Validate data availability, treatment definitions, and planning constraints.
Provision AWS resources, networking, and IAM policy boundaries.
Tune thresholds, hierarchies, and scenarios with your domain experts.
Enable monitoring, reporting, and a shared operations playbook.
No. EcoMetricx deploys and operates the pipeline as a managed engagement in your infrastructure.
All data stays in your AWS account, in buckets you control.
Yes. The pipeline is modular and can accommodate custom forecasting or causal components.
Initial deployment can be completed in days, with calibration and validation following.
We will scope the data contract, deploy the infrastructure, and deliver a production-ready forecasting service.
Contact EcoMetricx